ON THE INDICATOR OF PROTECTION OF HAZARDOUS PRODUCTION FACILITIES FROM THE DAMAGING FACTORS OF MUDSLIDES
The article discusses approaches to the formation of an analytical type of the indicator of the protection of hazardous production facilities from mudflows, as well as factors affecting its value. The analysis of physical, man-made, organizational, managerial and economic aspects determining the risk level is presented. A model of the integral indicator is proposed, including the parameters of engineering and organizational protection, the likelihood of mudflow processes and the influence of anthropogenic factors. Special priority is given to analyzing and accounting of previously undetected dangerous circumstances, allowing for a more accurate final assessment. The results can be used for comparative analysis of facilities and decision-making on priority financing of anti-settlement activities. The proposed approach is aimed at improving the accuracy of forecasts, optimizing resource allocation and reducing potential damage, which will help to increase the readiness of facility management bodies to respond to emergencies in the form of mudslides. The substantiation of the analytical type of the integral indicator of the protection of hazardous production facilities from the damaging factors of mudflows accumulating many heterogeneous parameters is developed and presented. The research is based on a systematic analysis and synthesis of existing approaches to risk assessment. The method of functional modeling is used as the basis for the formation of the indicator.
Its application is conditioned by the need to take into account four key groups of factors in a comprehensive manner: physical and geographical, man-made, organizational and managerial, and economic. At the same time, the effectiveness of engineering, technical, organizational and managerial measures is separately assessed within the economic group, and the model also integrates variables such as the likelihood of a mudflow event and the degree of impact of anthropogenic activity.
Tukhtarov А. А., Rybakov A. V. On the indicator of protection of hazardous production facilities from the damaging factors of mudslides // Technospheric safety. 2025. № 4 (49). Pp. 150–159


