FORMATION OF THE LOGIC OF RISK-ORIENTED PLANNING OF METROLOGICAL TESTING IN THE RUSSIAN MINISTRY OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

The article presents the logical structure of a risk-based approach to the organization of verification of measuring instruments in the EMERCOM of Russia system. The necessity of transition from the administrative-territorial principle of planning checks to scientifically based methods that take into account the probability of occurrence, spatial and temporal distribution and severity of the consequences of emergency situations of various nature and scale is substantiated. A scientific and methodological structure is proposed, including the classification of measuring instruments by functional classes, the development of mathematical models for quantifying damage from their decommissioning, and a sequence of steps to minimize cumulative losses. Exponential dependencies were used as tools to describe the decrease in the effectiveness of emergency rescue operations, linear and probabilistic models according to the Hurwitz criterion for analyzing radiation monitoring losses in conditions of uncertainty and variability of initial parameters. The logic of risk-based verification planning is formulated: prioritization of the use of mobile metrological laboratories, optimization of their movement routes, rational distribution of residual verification volumes and justification of the expediency of expanding laboratory capacity. The implementation of the proposed approach provides a quantitative assessment of the cumulative damage, improving the efficiency of resource management and the sustainability of the Russian Emergencies Ministry's metrological system in conditions of uncertainty and risk.